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Blackjack Card Counting – 4 Misconceptions
That Make Players Lose
Card counting does put the odds in the favor of blackjack players
however there are common misconceptions about card counting that
can and do cause players to lose.
If you want to win at blackjack and do card counting then it is
important you don’t believe these myths
The More complicated the method the better
A card counting system that is complicated does NOT guarantee it
will be more successful than a simpler one there is no link between
how complicated a system is and its success.
It’s the logic that the card counting system is based upon
that is important.
There are highly complicated theories we have seen that take weeks
to learn that are less effective than a simple strategy you can
learn in around 15 minutes.
Don’t be fooled by sales pitches the reality sometimes does
not match the hype
Card counting is predictive
Card counting, does not allow blackjack players to predict with
certainty what card will be dealt out of the deck next, it is simply
a probability theory
Blackjack card counting is not a predictive theory it is a probability
theory, and it simply tries to crudely calculate the odds of various
cards coming out of the deck.
There are huge number of permutations, so even if the odds are in
your favor doesn’t mean you are going to win in the short
term due to the small edge you are playing with.
Card counting is quick an easy way to make profits
. Blackjack players who card count can play with a positive edge
and the odds in their favor longer term but this does not mean that
profits will be made easily or regularly
Anything can and does happen in the short term and a player will
have to play for literally thousands of hours to see the positive
expectation take affect.
Keep in mind we are only talking a small edge of around 1.5%, the
smallness of the edge will see wildly fluctuating results short
term and any blackjack player needs to be prepared with an adequate
bankroll.
Blackjack card counting doesn’t work in all casinos!
Why? Because they have different rules, so you need to be very careful
that you pick a game with the rules as much in favor of players
as possible.
Here are some rules that are favorable to the player and the affect
they have longer term in terms of odds of success
Early surrender - +0.62%
Late surrender Single deck +0.02%
Double down after splitting +0.13%
Drawing to split aces +0.14%
Re splitting of aces +0.03%
Double down cards any number +0.20%
2:1 payoff blackjack +2.32%
Here are some rules that are unfavorable to the player
2 decks (v single) -0.35%
4 decks (v single) -0.51%
6 decks (v single) -0.60%
pairs no re splitting -0.05%
No doubling on hard 11 -0.89%
No doubling on hard 10 -0.56%
No doubling on hard 9 -0.14%
No doubling soft hands -0.14%
Dealer hits soft 17 -0.20%
Dealer takes no hole card -0.13%
As you can see the rules of the game are very important and you
need to pay with the most favorable ones you can find
Long term profits blackjack card counting
If you are going to try and make profits card counting you need
to take note of all the above and be prepared to play for long periods
with an adequate bankroll and have a system your comfortable with.
Do that and your well on the way to making big profits from blackjack
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